Roth or Traditional? Let the numbers decide.
Compare your future retirement wealth under both IRA strategies, accounting for taxes today, taxes in retirement, and decades of investment growth.
Your assumptions
See resultsQuick comparison assumes you qualify for direct Roth contributions, your Traditional contributions are fully deductible, and withdrawals meet qualifying conditions. Money that doesn't fit in the IRA is invested in a taxable account, with gains taxed at an estimated 15% when sold.
Results
Based on your assumptions, a Traditional IRA strategy could leave you with $16,961 more after-tax wealth at retirement.
Estimates in today's dollars. Projections depend on your assumptions and are not guaranteed.
- IRA limits after 2026 are held at 2026 levels. Future limits haven't been set by the IRS.
Roth strategy
$373,959
After-tax at retirement, today's dollars
Traditional strategy
$390,920
After-tax at retirement, today's dollars
- Difference
- $16,961
- Traditional strategy ahead
- Difference (%)
- 4.3%
- Relative to the Traditional strategy
- Years until retirement
- 35
- Break-even withdrawal rate
- 23.6%
- You assumed 20.0%
If your retirement withdrawal tax rate is below 23.6%, the traditional strategy comes out ahead; above it, the roth strategy does.
Why this result
- Deducting Traditional contributions saves about 24.0% in tax today, more than your 20.0% modeled retirement withdrawal rate. This favors deductible Traditional contributions.
- Your Traditional contribution reaches the $7,500 limit, so $300 of the Traditional strategy's budget (including its tax savings) goes to a taxable account, where dividends and gains are taxed.
- The result would flip to the roth strategy if your retirement withdrawal tax rate were above 23.6%.
After-tax wealth over time
Values before retirement are hypothetical: what each strategy would be worth if sold and withdrawn at that age under your withdrawal tax assumptions, not a promise of penalty-free access. Shown in today's dollars.
What's inside each strategy at retirement?
Show contributions, growth, and taxes
| Over the projection | Roth strategy | Traditional strategy |
|---|---|---|
| IRA contributions | $142,343 | $180,986 |
| Deductible portion | $0 | $180,986 |
| Tax savings from deductions | $0 | $43,437 |
| Taxable account deposits | $0 | $4,794 |
| Investment growth (after dividend taxes) | $231,616 | $301,440 |
| Taxes paid on dividends | $0 | $0 |
| Estimated tax on Traditional withdrawals | $0 | $94,384 |
| Estimated capital gains tax | $0 | $1,916 |
| After-tax wealth | $373,959 | $390,920 |
Retirement tax sensitivity
Above the zero line the roth strategy is ahead; below it the traditional strategy is ahead. Everything else stays at your current assumptions. Shown in today's dollars.
Annual projection
Contributions happen at the start of each year at the age shown; balances are at year-end. All values in today's dollars. The final row's after-tax wealth matches the totals above. Limits after 2026 are projections, not enacted IRS limits.
| Age | Year | IRA limit | Savings budget | Roth strategy | Traditional strategy | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roth IRA contribution | Taxable deposit | Roth IRA (end of year) | Taxable (end of year) | After-tax wealth | Traditional IRA contribution | Deductible portion | Tax savings | Taxable deposit | Traditional IRA (end of year) | Taxable (end of year) | After-tax wealth | ||||
| 30 | 2026 | $7,500 | $6,000 | $6,000 | $0 | $6,263 | $0 | $6,263 | $7,500 | $7,500 | $1,800 | $300 | $7,829 | $313 | $6,574 |
| 31 | 2027 | $7,317* | $5,854 | $5,854 | $0 | $12,649 | $0 | $12,649 | $7,317 | $7,317 | $1,756 | $293 | $15,811 | $632 | $13,272 |
| 32 | 2028 | $7,139* | $5,711 | $5,711 | $0 | $19,166 | $0 | $19,166 | $7,139 | $7,139 | $1,713 | $286 | $23,957 | $958 | $20,106 |
| 33 | 2029 | $6,964* | $5,572 | $5,572 | $0 | $25,824 | $0 | $25,824 | $6,964 | $6,964 | $1,671 | $279 | $32,280 | $1,291 | $27,084 |
| 34 | 2030 | $6,795* | $5,436 | $5,436 | $0 | $32,632 | $0 | $32,632 | $6,795 | $6,795 | $1,631 | $272 | $40,790 | $1,632 | $34,217 |
| 35 | 2031 | $6,629* | $5,303 | $5,303 | $0 | $39,600 | $0 | $39,600 | $6,629 | $6,629 | $1,591 | $265 | $49,500 | $1,980 | $41,516 |
| 36 | 2032 | $6,467* | $5,174 | $5,174 | $0 | $46,740 | $0 | $46,740 | $6,467 | $6,467 | $1,552 | $259 | $58,425 | $2,337 | $48,991 |
| 37 | 2033 | $6,309* | $5,048 | $5,048 | $0 | $54,061 | $0 | $54,061 | $6,309 | $6,309 | $1,514 | $252 | $67,576 | $2,703 | $56,654 |
| 38 | 2034 | $6,156* | $4,924 | $4,924 | $0 | $61,575 | $0 | $61,575 | $6,156 | $6,156 | $1,477 | $246 | $76,969 | $3,079 | $64,516 |
| 39 | 2035 | $6,005* | $4,804 | $4,804 | $0 | $69,294 | $0 | $69,294 | $6,005 | $6,005 | $1,441 | $240 | $86,617 | $3,465 | $72,590 |
| 40 | 2036 | $5,859* | $4,687 | $4,687 | $0 | $77,229 | $0 | $77,229 | $5,859 | $5,859 | $1,406 | $234 | $96,536 | $3,861 | $80,888 |
| 41 | 2037 | $5,716* | $4,573 | $4,573 | $0 | $85,393 | $0 | $85,393 | $5,716 | $5,716 | $1,372 | $229 | $106,741 | $4,270 | $89,424 |
| 42 | 2038 | $5,577* | $4,461 | $4,461 | $0 | $93,799 | $0 | $93,799 | $5,577 | $5,577 | $1,338 | $223 | $117,249 | $4,690 | $98,210 |
| 43 | 2039 | $5,441* | $4,353 | $4,353 | $0 | $102,461 | $0 | $102,461 | $5,441 | $5,441 | $1,306 | $218 | $128,076 | $5,123 | $107,261 |
| 44 | 2040 | $5,308* | $4,246 | $4,246 | $0 | $111,392 | $0 | $111,392 | $5,308 | $5,308 | $1,274 | $212 | $139,240 | $5,570 | $116,592 |
| 45 | 2041 | $5,178* | $4,143 | $4,143 | $0 | $120,607 | $0 | $120,607 | $5,178 | $5,178 | $1,243 | $207 | $150,758 | $6,030 | $126,217 |
| 46 | 2042 | $5,052* | $4,042 | $4,042 | $0 | $130,121 | $0 | $130,121 | $5,052 | $5,052 | $1,213 | $202 | $162,651 | $6,506 | $136,154 |
| 47 | 2043 | $4,929* | $3,943 | $3,943 | $0 | $139,950 | $0 | $139,950 | $4,929 | $4,929 | $1,183 | $197 | $174,937 | $6,997 | $146,417 |
| 48 | 2044 | $4,809* | $3,847 | $3,847 | $0 | $150,110 | $0 | $150,110 | $4,809 | $4,809 | $1,154 | $192 | $187,637 | $7,505 | $157,024 |
| 49 | 2045 | $4,691* | $3,753 | $3,753 | $0 | $160,618 | $0 | $160,618 | $4,691 | $4,691 | $1,126 | $188 | $200,772 | $8,031 | $167,993 |
| 50 | 2046 | $5,248* | $3,662 | $3,662 | $0 | $171,492 | $0 | $171,492 | $4,818 | $4,818 | $1,156 | $0 | $214,616 | $8,383 | $179,355 |
| 51 | 2047 | $5,120* | $3,572 | $3,572 | $0 | $182,750 | $0 | $182,750 | $4,700 | $4,700 | $1,128 | $0 | $228,945 | $8,752 | $191,118 |
| 52 | 2048 | $4,995* | $3,485 | $3,485 | $0 | $194,411 | $0 | $194,411 | $4,586 | $4,586 | $1,101 | $0 | $243,783 | $9,136 | $203,302 |
| 53 | 2049 | $4,874* | $3,400 | $3,400 | $0 | $206,496 | $0 | $206,496 | $4,474 | $4,474 | $1,074 | $0 | $259,156 | $9,537 | $215,929 |
| 54 | 2050 | $4,755* | $3,317 | $3,317 | $0 | $219,024 | $0 | $219,024 | $4,365 | $4,365 | $1,048 | $0 | $275,091 | $9,956 | $229,020 |
| 55 | 2051 | $4,639* | $3,236 | $3,236 | $0 | $232,018 | $0 | $232,018 | $4,258 | $4,258 | $1,022 | $0 | $291,613 | $10,393 | $242,598 |
| 56 | 2052 | $4,526* | $3,157 | $3,157 | $0 | $245,501 | $0 | $245,501 | $4,154 | $4,154 | $997 | $0 | $308,752 | $10,849 | $256,685 |
| 57 | 2053 | $4,415* | $3,080 | $3,080 | $0 | $259,494 | $0 | $259,494 | $4,053 | $4,053 | $973 | $0 | $326,538 | $11,325 | $271,308 |
| 58 | 2054 | $4,308* | $3,005 | $3,005 | $0 | $274,024 | $0 | $274,024 | $3,954 | $3,954 | $949 | $0 | $345,002 | $11,822 | $286,491 |
| 59 | 2055 | $4,202* | $2,932 | $2,932 | $0 | $289,115 | $0 | $289,115 | $3,858 | $3,858 | $926 | $0 | $364,176 | $12,341 | $302,260 |
| 60 | 2056 | $4,100* | $2,860 | $2,860 | $0 | $304,794 | $0 | $304,794 | $3,764 | $3,764 | $903 | $0 | $384,093 | $12,883 | $318,644 |
| 61 | 2057 | $4,000* | $2,791 | $2,791 | $0 | $321,088 | $0 | $321,088 | $3,672 | $3,672 | $881 | $0 | $404,789 | $13,449 | $335,671 |
| 62 | 2058 | $3,902* | $2,723 | $2,723 | $0 | $338,027 | $0 | $338,027 | $3,582 | $3,582 | $860 | $0 | $426,300 | $14,039 | $353,372 |
| 63 | 2059 | $3,807* | $2,656 | $2,656 | $0 | $355,640 | $0 | $355,640 | $3,495 | $3,495 | $839 | $0 | $448,664 | $14,656 | $371,777 |
| 64 | 2060 | $3,714* | $2,591 | $2,591 | $0 | $373,959 | $0 | $373,959 | $3,410 | $3,410 | $818 | $0 | $471,921 | $15,299 | $390,920 |
* Projected limit.
Educational estimates only. This calculator is not individualized tax, legal, or investment advice. Future tax rules and investment returns may differ from these assumptions.
How Roth and Traditional IRAs differ
Roth IRA
- Contributions are made with after-tax money.
- Contributions are not deductible.
- Qualified withdrawals are tax-free.
- Original owners generally have no lifetime required minimum distributions.
- Direct contributions can be limited by income.
Traditional IRA
- Contributions may be deductible, depending on income and workplace retirement coverage.
- Investment earnings generally grow tax-deferred.
- Deductible contributions and earnings are generally taxed upon withdrawal.
- Required minimum distribution rules generally apply.
- Nondeductible contributions create tax basis that isn't taxed again when withdrawn.
This is an IRA comparison tool. 401(k) and other workplace plans follow different rules and limits. Read the full methodology.
Frequently asked questions
Is Roth always better if I'm young?
Not necessarily. Being young means more years of tax-free Roth growth, and early-career tax rates are often low, which favors Roth. But if your tax rate in retirement ends up lower than the rate you'd save today, a deductible Traditional IRA can still come out ahead. The comparison depends on the two tax rates far more than on age alone.
What matters more: my tax rate today or in retirement?
Their relationship matters most. With an equal after-tax budget and no contribution limit in the way, a Traditional IRA wins when your retirement withdrawal rate is lower than your tax savings rate today, and Roth wins when it is higher. Contribution limits, taxable-account taxes, and partial deductibility shift the break-even point, which is why the calculator solves for it.
Does my income affect eligibility?
Yes. Direct Roth IRA contributions phase out at higher modified AGI. Traditional IRA contributions are always allowed if you have taxable compensation, but the deduction phases out at higher income when you or your spouse are covered by a workplace retirement plan.
What if I already have a 401(k)?
401(k) plans have their own, separate limits and rules, and this site doesn't model them. Being covered by a 401(k) can limit how much of a Traditional IRA contribution you can deduct, which the Detailed comparison accounts for. You can still contribute to an IRA in addition to a 401(k).
Can I contribute to both IRAs?
Yes, but they share one annual limit. For 2026, your combined Roth and Traditional IRA contributions can't exceed $7,500 ($8,600 if you're 50 or older), or your taxable compensation if that's less.
What happens if I max out my IRA?
In this calculator, savings beyond the IRA limit go to an ordinary taxable brokerage account, where dividends are taxed each year and gains are taxed when sold. When the limit is binding, Roth often gains an edge because each Roth dollar is already after tax, so the same limit shelters more of your savings.
What if tax rates increase in the future?
Higher tax rates on retirement withdrawals favor Roth. Use the retirement tax sensitivity chart and the break-even rate to see how high your withdrawal rate would need to be for the result to flip.
Why does the calculator include a taxable brokerage account?
To compare the strategies fairly, both must use the same after-tax budget. A deductible Traditional contribution saves tax today, and that savings has to go somewhere. It's invested in a taxable account, along with any money that doesn't fit under the IRA limit. Ignoring it would understate the Traditional strategy.
What is a backdoor Roth IRA?
A backdoor Roth is a nondeductible Traditional IRA contribution followed by a conversion to a Roth IRA, used by people whose income is too high for direct Roth contributions. Conversions have their own tax rules, including the pro-rata rule, and are out of scope for this version. The calculator doesn't treat a backdoor Roth as a direct Roth contribution.
Can I withdraw Roth contributions before retirement?
Generally, yes. Your regular Roth contributions (not earnings) can be withdrawn at any time without tax or penalty. Withdrawing earnings before age 59½, or before the account has been open five years, can trigger tax and a 10% penalty unless an exception applies. Early withdrawals aren't modeled here.